Empoli have defied all the odds to stay undefeated so far, and they should certainly pose Fiorentina some problems in the Derby dell'Arno. However, the Viola can spoil their Azzurri rivals' party by snatching maximum points, having gained confidence from winning last week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Fiorentina
26.47% ( -0.95)	26.22% ( -0.15)	47.31% ( 1.11)

Both teams to score 49.46% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.57% (

0.01)

54.44% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.2% (

0.01)

75.8% (

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.24% (

-0.78)

35.76% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.47% (

-0.81)

72.53% (

0.82)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.99% (

0.52)

23.01% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.19% (

0.75)

56.81% (

-0.75)

Score Analysis

Empoli 26.47%

Fiorentina 47.3%

Draw 26.22%

Empoli	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.97% Total : 26.47%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.3%