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PL
Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
FL

Parma
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Man (22')
Estevez (36'), Balogh (49'), Circati (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Biraghi (75')
Pongracic (35')
Pongracic (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Parma 0-1 Palermo
Sunday, August 11 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Grosseto 2-7 Fiorentina
Monday, August 5 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Parma 1-1 Fiorentina

Only once in their history have Fiorentina and Parma faced each other on Serie A's opening matchday, and 24 years after the previous meeting they will begin a brand-new season with a draw. While the hosts are familiar with Fabio Pecchia's setup, their visitors will be adapting to a new tactical framework under Raffaele Palladino and still have some work to do in the transfer market. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Parma had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Parma win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
ParmaDrawFiorentina
27.69% (-1.619 -1.62) 23.76% (-0.064 -0.06) 48.55% (1.685 1.69)
Both teams to score 58.26% (-0.979 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.66% (-0.761 -0.76)43.34% (0.762 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.26% (-0.755 -0.75)65.74% (0.754 0.75)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (-1.523 -1.52)28.95% (1.523 1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (-1.929 -1.93)64.84% (1.93 1.93)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (0.372 0.37)18% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.14% (0.63200000000001 0.63)48.86% (-0.631 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Parma 27.69%
    Fiorentina 48.55%
    Draw 23.76%
ParmaDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 6.87% (-0.278 -0.28)
1-0 @ 6.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 27.69%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.172 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 9.5% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.399 0.4)
0-2 @ 7.66% (0.429 0.43)
1-3 @ 5.43% (0.144 0.14)
0-3 @ 4.38% (0.294 0.29)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.33% (0.089 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.88% (0.147 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 48.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Parma 0-1 Palermo
Sunday, August 11 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Parma 4-1 Atalanta
Sunday, August 4 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-0 Parma
Wednesday, July 31 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Galatasaray 0-2 Parma
Saturday, July 27 at 7.15pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Antwerp 1-2 Parma
Saturday, July 20 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Reggiana 1-1 Parma
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Grosseto 2-7 Fiorentina
Monday, August 5 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Montpellier
Sunday, August 4 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Hull City 2-2 Fiorentina
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Fiorentina
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Fiorentina
Friday, July 26 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Fiorentina 4-0 Reggiana
Friday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3


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