Although Empoli have been struggling to secure all three points of late, they have managed to make life difficult for their opponents and have either claimed hard-fought draws or suffered defeat only by the odd goal. Another low-scoring affair could be on the cards this weekend, but we can see Fiorentina edging out Gli Azzurri to claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 19.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Empoli
58.96%	21.69%	19.35%

Both teams to score 54.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.07%

42.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.67%

65.33%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.77%

14.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.03%

41.96%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.04%

35.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.26%

72.73%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 58.96%

Empoli 19.35%

Draw 21.68%

Fiorentina	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.73% 3-1 @ 6.47% 3-0 @ 6.32% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 3.15% 4-0 @ 3.08% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.93% Total : 58.96%	1-1 @ 10.2% 0-0 @ 5.11% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.68%	0-1 @ 5.23% 1-2 @ 5.22% 0-2 @ 2.68% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.35%