Although Fiorentina may be a little fatigued given that there is less than a 72 hour turnaround between facing Braga on Thursday and this match, they should have taken huge confidence from their significant victory in Portugal.
Italiano will be targeting maximum points from their next two fixtures to move further away from the relegation zone, and we expect the Violets to complete the first step of that against Empoli on Sunday.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 72.11%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 10.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
1.25) 
-0.68) 
