SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Empoli |
70.93% ( 1.38) | 17.52% ( -0.49) | 11.55% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 50% ( -1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.19% ( -0.06) | 39.81% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.83% ( -0.06) | 62.17% ( 0.06) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.01% ( 0.32) | 9.99% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.99% ( 0.74) | 33.01% ( -0.75) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.56% ( -1.52) | 44.44% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.51% ( -1.26) | 80.49% ( 1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Empoli |
| 2-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.3)4-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.6% Total : 70.92% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.91% Total : 17.52% | 0-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.17% Total : 11.55% |
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