Lazio have only lost four times on the road this term, so there is every chance of the Aquile soaring to victory in Empoli - which is no mean feat, given the hosts' recent results there: Sarri's side can score from several sources and also boast the second-best defensive record in Serie A.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
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