Lazio have won nine of their 16 away games in Serie A this season, but a trip to San Siro presents its own unique challenge, and they may have to settle for a draw on this occasion.
Simply scoring against the Rome club is something to be celebrated, such is their clean-sheet record, but Milan need more than single-point returns if they are to finish in Italy's top four.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
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