While Lazio have won four of their last five home league games, Lecce have lost each of their previous five on the road, with the Wolves failing to score in four of those defeats.
With that in mind, we expect Lazio to bounce back with a comfortable victory over Lecce, who look set to slide deeper into relegation danger.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
0.42) 
-0.2) 
