SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Lazio |
26.67% ( -0.25) | 25.4% ( 0.05) | 47.93% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.92% ( -0.37) | 51.08% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.07% ( -0.33) | 72.93% ( 0.33) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.22% ( -0.4) | 33.78% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.56% ( -0.43) | 70.44% ( 0.43) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( -0.07) | 21.32% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.72% ( -0.1) | 54.28% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.67% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 47.93% |
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