SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
43.65% ( 0.52) | 26.77% ( -0.01) | 29.57% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 49.85% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.08% ( -0.15) | 54.91% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.8% ( -0.13) | 76.2% ( 0.12) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( 0.2) | 24.97% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.37% ( 0.27) | 59.62% ( -0.27) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.44% ( -0.46) | 33.55% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.8% ( -0.5) | 70.19% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.64% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.4% Total : 29.57% |
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