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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
LL

Bologna
1 - 0
Lazio

Ferguson (46')
Ferguson (49'), Beukema (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pedro (35'), Romagnoli (50'), Alberto (65'), Zaccagni (80'), Isaksen (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Hellas Verona
Tuesday, October 31 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Fiorentina
Monday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 1-1 Lazio

A goalless stalemate was played out the last time these two teams butted heads in March, and another closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Friday. Bologna's recent unbeaten streak on home soil bodes well heading into this fixture and we believe that they will do enough to frustrate Lazio and claim a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.

Result
BolognaDrawLazio
43.65% (0.521 0.52) 26.77% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 29.57% (-0.511 -0.51)
Both teams to score 49.85% (-0.21 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.08% (-0.151 -0.15)54.91% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.8% (-0.126 -0.13)76.2% (0.12299999999999 0.12)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (0.19500000000001 0.2)24.97% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (0.27200000000001 0.27)59.62% (-0.274 -0.27)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)33.55% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8% (-0.502 -0.5)70.19% (0.499 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 43.64%
    Lazio 29.57%
    Draw 26.77%
BolognaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 11.62% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.06% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.73% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.64%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Hellas Verona
Tuesday, October 31 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Bologna
Saturday, October 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Frosinone
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, October 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 3-0 Empoli
Sunday, October 1 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-0 Bologna
Thursday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Fiorentina
Monday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Feyenoord 3-1 Lazio
Wednesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-2 Lazio
Saturday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Celtic 1-2 Lazio
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Lazio
Saturday, September 30 at 5pm in Serie A


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