None of the last nine Serie A meetings between these clubs have ended level - with six wins for Sunday's hosts and three for their Tuscan counterparts - and a draw is not the likeliest outcome on this occasion. Although Napoli have been short of their best on home turf, Empoli do not travel well and concede goals at an alarming rate on the road.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
0.19) 
-0.05) 
