While Salernitana are certainly tough to beat under Paulo Sousa, they have not travelled too well this season - winning only twice on the road. Both sides seem to have found some fluency in the final third, so another score draw between them could be on the cards.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
-0.42) 
0.25) 
