As Empoli have already conceded the most goals in home matches during any single Serie A season (43 so far), Salernitana will surely fancy their chances of success, given recent results.
The hosts boast some attacking prowess of their own, though, and should be expected to score at least once in a potentially open affair.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.49) 
-0.11) 
