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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 23, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Arechi
EL

Salernitana
2 - 4
Empoli

Ranieri (48'), Ismajli (55' og.)
Ranieri (76')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Pinamonti (2', 45' pen.), Cutrone (11'), Strandberg (13' og.)
Stojanovic (33'), Haas (53'), Marchizza (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawEmpoli
32.53%27.23%40.24%
Both teams to score 49.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.27%55.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.13%76.87%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13%31.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.69%68.31%
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86%27.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46%62.54%
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 32.53%
    Empoli 40.23%
    Draw 27.22%
SalernitanaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 7.38%
2-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.53%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.65%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 11.27%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 3.66%
0-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.19%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.23%

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