Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.