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Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
FL

Salernitana
3 - 3
Fiorentina

Dia (10', 59', 81' pen.)
Daniliuc (49'), Botheim (51'), Bradaric (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gonzalez (36'), Ikone (71'), Biraghi (84')
Mandragora (40'), Castrovilli (43'), Cabral (45'), Martinez (55'), Duncan (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 2-2 Fiorentina

Salernitana are the draw specialists, with seven in their last nine games, and they should be able to extend that against a side with little left to play for in Serie A. With rotation expected, Italiano will hope to see some promising signs from his squad players ahead of an important and exciting few weeks for Fiorentina. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawFiorentina
14.73% (1.296 1.3) 19.89% (1.155 1.16) 65.38% (-2.449 -2.45)
Both teams to score 51.14% (-0.454 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91% (-2.376 -2.38)43.09% (2.377 2.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (-2.392 -2.39)65.49% (2.393 2.39)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37% (0.378 0.38)41.63% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.88% (0.331 0.33)78.11% (-0.33 -0.33)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.63% (-1.352 -1.35)12.37% (1.355 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.77% (-2.902 -2.9)38.23% (2.903 2.9)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 14.73%
    Fiorentina 65.37%
    Draw 19.89%
SalernitanaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 4.51% (0.499 0.5)
2-1 @ 4.13% (0.293 0.29)
2-0 @ 1.98% (0.237 0.24)
3-2 @ 1.26% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.21% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 14.73%
1-1 @ 9.43% (0.578 0.58)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.522 0.52)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 19.89%
0-2 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.76% (0.55 0.55)
1-2 @ 9.86% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 7.83% (-0.443 -0.44)
1-3 @ 6.87% (-0.313 -0.31)
0-4 @ 4.09% (-0.47 -0.47)
1-4 @ 3.59% (-0.372 -0.37)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-5 @ 1.71% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-5 @ 1.5% (-0.247 -0.25)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 65.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 3-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, April 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Inter Milan
Friday, April 7 at 4pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, March 18 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Cremonese
Thursday, April 27 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Monza 3-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-3 Lech Poznan
Thursday, April 20 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta
Monday, April 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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