There is every chance that Salernitana can finally halt their long run of draws on Saturday, but not in the manner they would wish. Sassuolo's showing against Juve demonstrated they are now a force to be reckoned with, and they can leave Salerno with all three points to continue a superb spell of form.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.53%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.13) 
