Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 74.91%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Colombia Women had a probability of 9.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 3-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Colombia Women win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.04) 
