Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 46.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 25.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
0.53) 
-0.37) 
