SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 49.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Tigre |
49.66% ( -0.5) | 27.89% ( 0.14) | 22.45% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 41.47% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.1% ( -0.14) | 62.89% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.61% ( -0.11) | 82.39% ( 0.11) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% ( -0.31) | 25.64% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.47% ( -0.42) | 60.53% ( 0.42) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.76% ( 0.3) | 44.24% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.68% ( 0.24) | 80.32% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 15.43% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 49.65% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.45% |
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