SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Estudiantes |
40.63% ( -0.06) | 27.57% ( -0.22) | 31.81% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 48.44% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.85% ( 0.87) | 57.15% ( -0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.98% ( 0.69) | 78.02% ( -0.68) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% ( 0.38) | 27.6% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.87% ( 0.49) | 63.13% ( -0.48) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% ( 0.65) | 33.1% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.3% ( 0.71) | 69.7% ( -0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.63% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.81% |
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