Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
