SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estudiantes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Belgrano |
57.79% ( -0.57) | 25.36% ( 0.5) | 16.85% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 40.09% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.55% ( -1.51) | 60.45% ( 1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.42% ( -1.15) | 80.58% ( 1.16) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( -0.83) | 21.01% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.2% ( -1.31) | 53.79% ( 1.32) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.75% ( -0.8) | 49.25% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.87% ( -0.57) | 84.13% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 16.14% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.94% Total : 57.78% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.56)2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.85% |
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