SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Birmingham City |
23.95% ( -0.02) | 23.73% ( -0.02) | 52.32% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.66% ( 0.06) | 46.34% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.37% ( 0.05) | 68.62% ( -0.05) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% ( 0.01) | 33.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.86% ( 0.01) | 70.14% ( -0.01) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.31% ( 0.04) | 17.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.66% ( 0.07) | 48.33% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.14% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 23.95% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.89% 1-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 52.31% |
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