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EC
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
C

Exeter
2 - 0
Chesterfield

Crama (45+2'), Magennis (69')
Woods (47'), Francis (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Oldaker (48'), Cook (48')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Chesterfield

Chesterfield may be competing in the league below Exeter, but they have enough quality in their squad to compete with their League One hosts, and after winning three of their previous five away games, we think the Spireites could produce another strong away performance to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawChesterfield
39.03% (-0.165 -0.16) 24.25% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 36.71% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 60.49% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.88% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)42.12% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.47% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)64.52% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)21.63% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (-0.176 -0.18)54.75% (0.17 0.17)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19% (0.039000000000001 0.04)22.81% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.48% (0.060000000000002 0.06)56.52% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 39.03%
    Chesterfield 36.71%
    Draw 24.24%
Exeter CityDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 39.03%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 36.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, November 16 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 5-3 Barnet
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-3 Exeter
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 2-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Chesterfield 0-3 Accrington
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-1 Horsham
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Morecambe 2-5 Chesterfield
Saturday, October 26 at 12.30pm in League Two


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