Exeter have only picked up one point from their last four games, and things are unlikely to get any easier for them against one of the strongest teams in the division on Saturday.
Bolton should be riding high after coming from two goals behind to claim a precious point away to their promotion rivals Barnsley in midweek, while the potential return of Charles to their travelling squad will provide another boost. We expect them to claim a narrow victory and remain in the top two positions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
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