SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a F91 Dudelange win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Gzira United had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a F91 Dudelange win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Gzira United win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that F91 Dudelange would win this match.
| Result | ||
| F91 Dudelange | Draw | Gzira United |
37.39% ( -12.4) | 26.73% ( 3.2) | 35.88% ( 9.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( -6.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.71% ( -10.26) | 53.28% ( 10.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.16% ( -9.41) | 74.83% ( 9.4) |
| F91 Dudelange Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% ( -10.2) | 27.6% ( 10.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.87% ( -15.3) | 63.12% ( 15.29) |
| Gzira United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( 1.03) | 28.49% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% ( 1.27) | 64.26% ( -1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| F91 Dudelange | Draw | Gzira United |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 1.14) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -1.4)2-0 @ 6.52% ( -1.34)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -2.07)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -1.78)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -1.2)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -1.31)Other @ 2.92% Total : 37.38% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 1.75) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 2.72)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.71)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.46)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 3.6) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 1.29)0-2 @ 6.2% ( 2.37)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.62)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 1.04)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.22)Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.88% |
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