SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Magpies had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Magpies win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Magpies |
62.91% ( -0.11) | 20.57% ( 0.03) | 16.52% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.38% ( -0) | 42.61% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.98% ( -0.01) | 65.01% ( 0) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.06% ( -0.03) | 12.93% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.61% ( -0.07) | 39.39% ( 0.06) |
| Magpies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61% ( 0.09) | 39% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.27% ( 0.08) | 75.72% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Magpies |
| 2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 62.9% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 16.52% |
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