KA
2 - 0
Connah's Quay

(KA win 4-0 on aggregate)

Mar Steingrimsson (60'), Hafsteinsson (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Edwards (17'), Wilde (86'), Poole (88'), Morris (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between KA and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

Last Game: New Saints 4-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 22 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KA win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a KA win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KA would win this match.

Result
KA	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
41.65%	24.13%	34.21% ( -0)

Both teams to score 60.46% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.03%

41.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.63% (

-0)

64.37%

KA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.66% (

-0)

20.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.27%

52.73%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.9% (

-0)

24.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.61% (

-0)

58.39%

Score Analysis

KA 41.65%

Connah's Quay Nomads 34.21%

Draw 24.13%

KA	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 8.85% 1-0 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 6.22% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.93% Total : 41.65%	1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.13%	1-2 @ 7.9% 0-1 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.21%