Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 58.12%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Magpies had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Magpies win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.13) 
