Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for KA had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest KA win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.