SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Dundalk |
43.2% ( -0.01) | 27.26% ( -0) | 29.54% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.24% ( 0.02) | 56.76% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.3% ( 0.02) | 77.7% ( -0.02) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% ( 0.01) | 26.04% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.92% ( 0) | 61.07% ( -0) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.44% ( 0.02) | 34.56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.72% ( 0.03) | 71.28% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 43.19% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 29.54% |
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