SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 37.74%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 30.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.32%), while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 0-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Dynamo Makhachkala |
37.74% ( 0.02) | 31.96% ( -0.03) | 30.29% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 36.85% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.97% ( 0.09) | 71.02% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.12% ( 0.05) | 87.88% ( -0.06) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.48% ( 0.06) | 36.52% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.69% ( 0.06) | 73.3% ( -0.06) |
| Dynamo Makhachkala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.04% ( 0.07) | 41.95% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.6% ( 0.06) | 78.39% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | Dynamo Makhachkala |
| 1-0 @ 15.43% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0)2-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.74% | 0-0 @ 15.32% ( -0.05) 1-1 @ 13.4% 2-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 31.95% | 0-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 30.28% |
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