SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Dynamo Makhachkala |
54.01% ( 0.23) | 25.14% ( -0.05) | 20.85% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 46.66% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.9% ( 0.03) | 55.1% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.65% ( 0.03) | 76.35% ( -0.02) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% ( 0.11) | 20.4% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.18% ( 0.16) | 52.82% ( -0.16) |
| Dynamo Makhachkala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.62% ( -0.16) | 41.38% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.11% ( -0.14) | 77.89% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Dynamo Makhachkala |
| 1-0 @ 13.41% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 53.99% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.85% |
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