SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 83.24%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 4.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.1%) and 1-0 (13.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.56%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (2.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Fakel |
83.24% ( -1.34) | 12.42% ( 0.81) | 4.34% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 31.77% ( 1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.81% ( -0.85) | 43.2% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.41% ( -0.85) | 65.6% ( 0.86) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.1% ( -0.49) | 7.9% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.04% ( -1.27) | 27.96% ( 1.28) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 34.5% ( 1.77) | 65.51% ( -1.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.78% ( 0.73) | 93.22% ( -0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Fakel |
| 2-0 @ 16.67% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 14.1% ( -0.54)1-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.58)2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.16)5-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.42)4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.23)5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.92% Total : 83.23% | 1-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.19% Total : 12.42% | 0-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.98% Total : 4.34% |
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