SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Makhachkala | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
20.05% ( 0.25) | 26.68% ( 0.02) | 53.26% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 41.63% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.84% ( 0.18) | 61.15% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.89% ( 0.14) | 81.11% ( -0.14) |
| Dynamo Makhachkala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.21% ( 0.39) | 45.79% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.45% ( 0.31) | 81.55% ( -0.31) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.79% ( -0.04) | 23.21% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.89% ( -0.06) | 57.11% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.64% Total : 20.05% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.47% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 15.52% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 11.33% ( -0.11)1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.52% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 53.26% |
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