SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 77.81%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 7.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.99%) and 3-0 (11.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
77.81% ( -0.07) | 14.99% ( 0.04) | 7.2% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 40.53% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.69% ( -0.07) | 42.31% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.29% ( -0.07) | 64.71% ( 0.08) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.03% ( -0.03) | 8.97% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.4% ( -0.08) | 30.6% ( 0.08) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.52% ( 0.03) | 55.48% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.83% ( 0.02) | 88.17% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
| 2-0 @ 14.46% 1-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 11.62% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 77.78% | 1-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 14.99% | 0-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 7.2% |
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