SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
24.01% ( -0.28) | 22.72% ( -0.03) | 53.27% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 58.19% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.21% ( -0.18) | 41.79% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.81% ( -0.18) | 64.19% ( 0.18) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.02% ( -0.33) | 30.97% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.72% ( -0.39) | 67.28% ( 0.39) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( 0.04) | 15.7% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.24% ( 0.08) | 44.76% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 24.01% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.03% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.61% Total : 53.27% |
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