Portimonense find themselves scrambling for points in the danger zone and will be looking for a solid run of results in the run-in to salvage their season. Sergio's men have lost just one of their last nine games against Famalicao and we are tipping them to hold out for a share of the spoils at the Estadio Municipal de Famalicao.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
