SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
17.6% ( -0.35) | 22.86% ( -0.31) | 59.54% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 48.01% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.45% ( 0.69) | 50.55% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.53% ( 0.61) | 72.47% ( -0.61) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.58% ( -0.02) | 42.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.2% ( -0.02) | 78.8% ( 0.02) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( 0.47) | 16.62% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.54% ( 0.84) | 46.45% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 17.6% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 11.35% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 6.79% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.82% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.88% Total : 59.53% |
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