SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
| 50.88% | 24.29% ( 0.03) | 24.82% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.88% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% ( -0.18) | 47.91% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.9% ( -0.16) | 70.09% ( 0.16) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( -0.07) | 18.84% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.71% ( -0.11) | 50.29% ( 0.11) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( -0.12) | 33.61% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.74% ( -0.14) | 70.25% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 50.88% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 24.82% |
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