Desperate for points, relegation-battling Chaves hold a slight home advantage against winless Portimonense. Despite Chaves' poor form, their home record against Portimonense is strong. We expect a close encounter but the hope side are likely to edge this affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 42%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Portimonense
42% ( 0.45)	24.83% ( -0.13)	33.16% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 57.65% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.5% (

0.51)

45.51% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.17% (

0.48)

67.84% (

-0.48)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.33% (

0.43)

21.67% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.19% (

0.66)

54.81% (

-0.66)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6% (

0.05)

26.4% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44% (

0.07)

61.56% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Chaves 42.01%

Portimonense 33.16%

Draw 24.83%

Chaves	Draw	Portimonense
2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.01%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.83%	1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.16%