SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 42%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Portimonense |
42% ( 0.45) | 24.83% ( -0.13) | 33.16% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 57.65% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.5% ( 0.51) | 45.51% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.17% ( 0.48) | 67.84% ( -0.48) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.33% ( 0.43) | 21.67% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.19% ( 0.66) | 54.81% ( -0.66) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( 0.05) | 26.4% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.44% ( 0.07) | 61.56% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Portimonense |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.01% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.16% |
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