SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Khimki |
61.7% ( -0.7) | 22.09% ( 0.31) | 16.21% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 47.6% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.36% ( -0.57) | 49.63% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.35% ( -0.51) | 71.65% ( 0.51) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.42% ( -0.42) | 15.58% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.45% ( -0.78) | 44.55% ( 0.78) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.38% ( 0.18) | 43.62% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.19% ( 0.15) | 79.81% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Khimki |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.1% Total : 61.69% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.57% Total : 16.21% |
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