SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
22.8% ( 0.47) | 23.16% ( 0.1) | 54.03% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 55.21% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.95% ( 0.11) | 45.05% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.6% ( 0.11) | 67.4% ( -0.11) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.19% ( 0.49) | 33.8% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.53% ( 0.53) | 70.47% ( -0.53) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.4% ( -0.16) | 16.6% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.59% ( -0.29) | 46.4% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.23% Total : 22.8% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 5.88% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.43% 1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.17% Total : 54.02% |
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