SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
39.56% ( 0.7) | 25.81% ( -0.05) | 34.63% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 54.69% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.5% ( 0.16) | 49.49% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.47% ( 0.14) | 71.53% ( -0.14) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( 0.45) | 24.64% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.84% ( 0.62) | 59.16% ( -0.62) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% ( -0.31) | 27.42% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.1% ( -0.41) | 62.9% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.56% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.63% |
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