J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 13, 2024 at 11am UK
Grenada National Stadium
We said: FC Tokyo 1-1 Albirex Niigata
Both teams will be keen to bounce back to winning ways on Saturday after disappointing results last time out, and we anticipate a hard-fought encounter which could end level in the Japanese capital.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.
| Result |
| FC Tokyo | Draw | Albirex Niigata |
40.46% ( -0.01) | 26.29% ( -0.18) | 33.25% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.79% ( 0.63) |
| 48.19% ( 0.78) | 51.81% ( -0.77) |
| 26.43% ( 0.67) | 73.57% ( -0.66) |
| 74.79% ( 0.35) | 25.21% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.05% ( 0.48) | 59.95% ( -0.47) |
| 70.58% ( 0.51) | 29.42% ( -0.51) |
