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J1 League | Gameweek 13
May 12, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
2 - 1
Kawasaki

Tokumoto (12'), Abe (25')
Nakagawa (32'), Watanabe (34')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Miyashiro (39')
Schmidt (45+3'), Kurumaya (90+1'), Ominami (90+5')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Consadole 5-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, May 7 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
FC TokyoDrawKawasaki Frontale
30.72% (-0.614 -0.61) 25.94% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 43.34% (0.519 0.52)
Both teams to score 53% (-0.585 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.89% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)51.11% (0.635 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.03% (-0.557 -0.56)72.97% (0.56099999999999 0.56)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (-0.741 -0.74)30.77% (0.746 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-0.887 -0.89)67.03% (0.89 0.89)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)23.45% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.54% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)57.46% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 30.72%
    Kawasaki Frontale 43.34%
    Draw 25.93%
FC TokyoDrawKawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.042 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.27% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 30.72%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.21% (0.182 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 10.46% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.59% (0.18 0.18)
1-3 @ 4.32% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.67% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 43.34%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Consadole 5-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 22 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Cerezo
Saturday, April 15 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, April 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, May 7 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Kawasaki
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 Kawasaki
Saturday, April 29 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Urawa
Sunday, April 23 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 15 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, April 9 at 7am in J1 League


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