Twente have been strong at home and Nijmegen are tough to beat on the road, so there is little to separate the sides despite the gap in league position.
The hosts have scored 15 in their last five games here, while NEC have conceded only two in their last five away games, so a close battle is on the cards.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 67.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for NEC had a probability of 13.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
0.02) 
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