Both sides are on a bad run of results heading into this weekend's game, which has all the makings of a nervy affair. We are anticipating a keenly-contested affair and a share of the spoils come the sound of the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for NEC had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
0.38) 
-0.47) 
