Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.69%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 1-0 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
FeralpiSalo	Draw	Bari
19.31% ( -0.1)	27.06% ( 0.04)	53.62% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 39.79% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.99% (

-0.2)

63.01% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.52% (

-0.15)

82.48% (

0.15)

FeralpiSalo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.26% (

-0.23)

47.74% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.96% (

-0.17)

83.04% (

0.18)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.14% (

-0.06)

23.86% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.94% (

-0.09)

58.05% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

FeralpiSalo 19.32%

Bari 53.62%

Draw 27.06%

FeralpiSalo	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.32%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.4% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 16.32% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 11.69% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 53.62%