Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Reggiana	Draw	Bari
33.68% ( 0.02)	28.62% ( 0.01)	37.69% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 45.81% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.38% (

-0.03)

60.62% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.29% (

-0.02)

80.71% (

0.02)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.4% (

-0)

33.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.75% (

-0)

70.25%

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69% (

-0.03)

31% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.69% (

-0.04)

67.31% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Reggiana 33.68%

Bari 37.69%

Draw 28.61%

Reggiana	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.68%	1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.61%	0-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 37.69%